Staking163d 23h· Resolves Dec 31, 2026
ETH staking yield above 4% by Q4 2026?
Resolves Yes if the rolling 7-day average network staking yield exceeds 4.0% APR at any point in Q4 2026.
Chance
35%
Yes / No
35¢ / 65¢
Volume
$612.0K
Traders
1,940
Yes price35¢
27¢ low42¢ high
Order book
Yes sharesPriceSharesTotal
42¢10,80610,806
41¢13,15923,965
40¢8,80432,769
39¢14,48147,250
38¢12,37959,629
37¢20,10979,738
36¢24,005103,743
Mid35¢
34¢26,44226,442
33¢28,02954,471
32¢21,48375,954
31¢20,91696,870
30¢7,168104,038
29¢7,231111,269
28¢11,810123,079
Spread 2¢ · Best bid 34¢ · Best ask 36¢Liquidity $58.0K
Shares
shares
Price per share36¢
Shares100
Total cost$36.00
Balance$0.00
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About this market
Uses the Rated Network aggregate validator yield. Yield is sensitive to priority fees and MEV, both of which spike with on-chain activity. A 7-day rolling average smooths single-day outliers.
Resolution source
Rated Network rolling 7-day average validator yield, Q4 2026.
Resolution date
Dec 31, 2026
Rules
- 01Resolves Yes if Rated Network's 7-day rolling validator yield exceeds 4.0% APR at any point in Q4 2026.
- 02Single-day spikes do not count. 7-day rolling average only.
- 03Source: Rated Network public API.